Fall 2019 – No Sign of Real Estate Bubble in Phoenix Metro
A Quick Look at September Numbers
We love The Cromford Report because it is all about numbers. This chart takes all the numbers for the Metro Phoenix area and compares them to the last month, last quarter, last year and two years ago (all on the same day of the month). By comparing all these figures, it is easier to see the current trends, as well as the big picture.
Not much has really changed! Slow and steady wins the race. There is still no indication of a real estate bubble in our Phoenix Metro real estate market.
Tips to Understand the Charts
- Green arrow indicates strength in the market, relative to the numbers.
- Red arrow indicates weakness in the market, relative to the numbers.
- Yellow dash indicates no change.
Example 1: Active Listings are down from last month, last quarter, last year and two years ago. This is shown as a green arrow down.
Example 2: Pending Listings are down from last month and last quarter indicated by a red arrow down. However, the number is higher than last year and 2 years ago on same date, indicated by a green arrow up.
Example 3: Days Inventory is the same as last month but significantly lower than last quarter, last year and two years ago.
News from NAR - National Association of Realtors
- Renter Households Not Caught Up on Rent Need Rental Assistance
The eviction moratorium is slated to expire on June 30, 2021, but many renters are still struggling to pay rent, and need rental assistance of at least $3.4 billion to avoid potential eviction.
- April 2021 Existing and Pending Home Sales
Median home prices were up 19% from April 2020. However, home sales fell for the 3rd straight month, running at a 5.85 million annualized pace in April. Lack of inventory is holding back sales potential.
- Instant Reaction: Mortgage Rates, June 10, 2021
Mortgage rates dropped this week to 2.96% from 2.99% the previous week, following the trend of the 10-year Treasury yield. NAR forecasts mortgage rates to average 3.2% in 2021.
- Instant Reaction: Consumer Price Index, June 10, 2021
Inflation rose more than expected in May to the fastest pace since 2008. Over the last 12 months, inflation rate rose 5.0%, compared to 4.2% in April and 2.6% in March, respectively.