Phoenix/Scottsdale Real Estate Market Update – January 2019
Is Phoenix/Scottsdale transitioning to a Buyer’s Market?
We have become accustomed to a hot, growing market that strongly favors sellers. Now that it is cooler, contracting in volume and moderately favoring buyers, there is some talk that we are entering a Buyer’s market. But this perspective is not agreed upon by all because a decline in demand does not necessarily constitute a Buyer’s market.
A Buyer’s market is indicated by supply that is higher than demand and decreasing closed sales prices. In Phoenix and Scottsdale, the supply is still very low, and there is little indication that the supply will increase.
Most indicators that impact the housing market are in normal to good ranges. Compared with California and other west coast metro areas, Phoenix/Scottsdale is still very affordable. There has been no decrease in loan approval rates and population growth is increasing faster than the number of homes. Owning a home still makes better financial sense than renting (unless you expect to own the home for less than 3 years). None of the conditions for closed prices to fall are currently in effect.
The numbers are more reliable than emotion, and the numbers indicate more of a cooling down rather than a downturn – perhaps a return to a balanced market.
*Every Tuesday, we participate in a conference call with our broker and fellow colleagues to discuss the local real estate market, the current real estate news and the latest statistics. Our market update is based on this group discussion and information provided by The Cromford Report, a company dedicated to local real estate market statistics.
News from NAR - National Association of Realtors
Inventory and Months' Supply
Inventory levels and months' supply are measures of housing supply. Here is a quick look at both of these terms.
December 2020 Existing Home Sales Annual Pace Rises to 6.76 Million
Existing-home sales data shows that housing market activity this December rose modestly 0.7% from November 2020.
Fewer Americans Applied for Jobless Aid Last Week
Fewer Americans filed a new unemployment claim last week, with the number of unadjusted initial claims falling to 960,668, a decrease of 151,303 claims from the prior week.
Existing-Home Sales Rise 0.7% in December, Annual Sales See Highest Level Since 2006
Existing-home sales rose in December, with home sales in 2020 reaching their highest level since 2006.